Atlantic Tropical Outlook
Pacific Tropical Outlook
Tropical Atlantic Infrared Satellite Loop
Eastern Pacific Infrared Satellite Loop
Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301118
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 30 Jul 2026 12:10:15 GMT
Eastern Pacific
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301121
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 30 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Genevieve, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of
the Baja California Peninsula.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven
Summary for Hurricane Genevieve (EP2/EP072026)
...GENEVIEVE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... As of 11:00 PM HST Wed Jul 29 the center of Genevieve was located near 20.2, -122.1 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 973 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
Hurricane Genevieve Public Advisory Number 25
Issued at 1100 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026 836 WTPZ32 KNHC 300831 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026 1100 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026 ...GENEVIEVE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 122.1W ABOUT 805 MI...1295 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 122.1 West. Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected during the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Genevieve is expected to become a remnant low late this weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the Baja California Peninsula and Southern California. These swells will persist for the next several days, and are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Gibbs/Evans
Hurricane Genevieve Forecast Advisory Number 25
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 30 2026 548 WTPZ22 KNHC 300830 TCMEP2 HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026 0900 UTC THU JUL 30 2026 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 122.1W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. 4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 240SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 122.1W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 121.5W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.7N 123.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.5N 126.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.1N 129.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.9N 131.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.8N 135.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.5N 138.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.6N 143.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.1N 145.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 122.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS
Hurricane Genevieve Forecast Discussion Number 25
Issued at 1100 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 300835 TCDEP2 Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026 1100 PM HST Wed Jul 29 2026 The satellite presentation of Genevieve's convective structure has degraded since the previous advisory. The low-level circulation remains embedded beneath a central dense overcast with cloud-top temperatures as cold as -70 C, which have been steadily warming, likely due to increasing dry-air entrainment. Subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and the latest objective estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 70 to 80 kt. Based on the satellite data and these estimates, the initial intensity is lowered to 80 kt. The initial motion estimate is 300/10 kt. Genevieve is expected to continue moving generally west-northwestward during the next several days as a low- to mid-level ridge builds north of the cyclone. A modest increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days as the ridge builds farther west. Thereafter, a gradual turn toward the northwest, then the north-northwest is forecast in response to a weakness forming in the subtropical ridge. The latest guidance remains in good agreement, and the updated NHC track forecast is essentially unchanged from the previous advisory. Environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable during the next several days. Genevieve will move over progressively cooler sea surface temperatures while encountering increasing southwesterly shear and a drier mid-level environment. These factors should result in a steady weakening trend, with the cyclone forecast to weaken below hurricane strength by Friday. By this weekend, persistent dry air entrainment and a more stable environment should cause deep convection to gradually diminish, resulting in Genevieve becoming a remnant low by 96 h. The updated NHC intensity forecast reflects this weakening trend and is very close to the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0900Z 20.2N 122.1W 80 KT 90 MPH 12H 30/1800Z 20.7N 123.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 31/0600Z 21.5N 126.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 31/1800Z 22.1N 129.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 01/0600Z 22.9N 131.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 01/1800Z 23.8N 135.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 02/0600Z 24.5N 138.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 03/0600Z 26.6N 143.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 04/0600Z 29.1N 145.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Gibbs/Evans
Hurricane Genevieve Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 30 2026 000
FOPZ12 KNHC 300832
PWSEP2
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0900 UTC THU JUL 30 2026
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GENEVIEVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 120W 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
20N 125W 34 32 29(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
20N 125W 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
25N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) X(29) X(29)
25N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) X(21)
25N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
30N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS
Hurricane Genevieve Graphics
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:22:51 GMT